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Keman Brothers Postdoctoral Fellow |
Harvard Center for the Environment |
Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences |
Harvard University |
24 Oxford
Street, 4th floor, Cambridge, MA, 02138 USA
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stine [at] fas
dot harvard dot edu
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Publications
- KA McKinnon, AR Stine, P Huybers,
The spatial structure of the seasonal cycle in surface
temperature: amplitude, phase, and Lagrangian history , Journal of Climate (in review), 2012
- AR Stine, P Huybers,
Changes in the seasonal cycle of temperature and atmospheric circulation ,
Journal of Climate, 2012, 25: 7362-7380, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00470.1
PDF (1.8 MB)
- AR Stine, P Huybers, IY Fung, Changes in the phase of the
annual cycle of surface temperature , Nature,
2009, 457: 435-440, doi: 10.1038/nature07675
PDF (1.1 MB),
Supplementary Information (3.2 MB) ,
News & Views piece (672 KB),
and
Nature Podcast (fourth segment on left "Seasons, they are a changin'")
- FH Lambert, AR Stine, NY Krakauer, JCH Chiang,
How much will precipitation increase with global warming? ,
EOS, 2008, 89(21): 193-194, doi: 10.1029/2007ES001938
PDF (124 KB)
- P Lurie, CM Almeida, N Stine, AR Stine, SM Wolfe,
Conflict of Interest Disclosure and Voting Patterns at Food and Drug
Administration Committee Meetings, Journal of the American
Medical Association, 2006,
295(16): 1921-1928
PDF (112 KB)
- KM Fischer, EM Parmentier, AR Stine, ER Wolf,
Modeling anisotropy and plate-driven flow in the Tonga
subduction zone back arc Journal of Geophysical Research, 2000,
105(B7): 16181-16191,
PDF (1.5 MB)
Current Research Topics
Annual Cycle of Surface Temperature |
The vast majority of the variability observed in the instrumental
surface temperature record is at annual frequencies. Systematic
changes have occurred in the amplitude and phase of the annual cycle
of surface temperature over the past half century, which appear to
be related to seasonal changes in atmospheric circulation over the
same period. I am interested in understanding natural and
anthropogenic influences on variability in seasonality, and how we
can distinguish them from one another.
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Because tree-ring growth is correlated with temperature at many
locations, long tree-ring records have been used to infer the
temperature history of the Earth before the advent of the
thermometer. However, in later part of the 20th century many of these
tree rings ceased to track temperature, suggesting a large-scale
change in the way the terrestrial biosphere responds to climate.
This recent behavior, known as the "tree-ring divergence problem,"
represents not only a problem for climate reconstructions -- it is an
important ecological problem in its own right. I am interested in
understanding the effects of climate upon tree growth, and on how the multiple
influences on tree growth effect our ability to interpret tree rings
as a record of past climates.
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Links
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