Non-parameteric Mechanisms and Causal Modeling (with Kevin Quinn)
Political scientists tend to think about causality in terms of
mechanisms. In this paper we argue that non-parametric structural
equation models are consistent with how many empirical political
scientists think about causality and are consistent with the powerful and
well-respected Neyman-Rubin Causal Model. Furthermore, using examples
we demonstrate that two important practical questions are more easily
addressed within the mechanistic framework: What (if any) set or sets
of conditioning variables will allow the identification of average
causal effects in a regression or matching model? When unmeasured
confounding is present, what (if any) adjustment will
non-parametrically identify the average causal effect?
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