|
  
|

|
|
Li Han
Job
Market Paper
- Marketing
Politics? Economic Reforms and the Selection of Political Elites in
China
November 15, 2007
Abstract: Many argue that
economic liberalization, by reducing the extent to which an autocrat can
directly control economic resources, induces democratization. This paper
suggests that in post-reform China the composition of the ruling
Communist Party membership altered in such a way so as to keep political
and economic control aligned. National survey data shows that membership
increased more among educated individuals with greater private-sector
opportunities. Exploiting exogenous variation in college graduates'
labor-market outside options, I find evidence that such a change is
mainly driven by the Party's increased demand for educated individuals
working in the growing private sector. Such a strategy of co-opting new
economic elite could help increase the Party's survival probability and
strengthen its commitment to economic reforms.
Research
Papers
- The Gender Difference
of Peer Influence in Higher Education
(with Tao Li), accepted by Economics of Education Review, October 2007
Abstract: Investigations of
the existence of residential peer effects in higher education have shown
mixed results. Using data from a Chinese college, where roommates are exogenously
assigned and live with each other for four years, we find no evidence of
robust residential peer effects. We find strong evidence that females
respond to peer influences whereas males do not, consistent with social
psychology theories that females are more influenced by peers.
- Redistribution and
Population Size in China
(with Filipe Campante and Quoc-Ann Do), October 2007
Abstract: This paper
investigates village level policies in China through the theoretical
lenses of Campante Do (2006), wherefrom it predicts a positive
relationship between population size and the progressivity of village
taxation. Moreover, this effect should be dampened by the
democratization of certain villages. These effects work in a political
economy model where absolute number of dissidents matter to
redistributive policies. We analyze a unique dataset of village taxes
per household, and of elections (competitive or not) of village heads,
using Blundell-Bond's 1998 method to address issues of weakly exogenous
errors and highly persistent variables (such as population) in a dynamic
panel. We find strong, robust empirical evidence supporting the
predictions of our theory.
- Empowerment or not?
Village Elections and Local Governance in an Authoritarian Hierarchy:
Evidence from China
(Draft available by December 2007)
Abstract: This paper
investigates how the implementation of village elections in China
affects local political power sharing and local governance. Exploiting
exogenous variations in the timing of implementation, I find that
elected village officials are less likely to be the ruling communist
party members. As political participation increases, village officials
are less predatory in taxing peasants and less corrupt in spending
public money. However, there is no robust evidence on income
redistribution and improved public goods provision. The empirical
evidence suggests that village election only serves a limited role. It
is mainly used by the central government as a device to discipline
corrupt local officials rather than commitment to redistribution.
- The Capture of
Personnel Control and Incentive Pay in Rural China: Evidence from School
Finance Centralization Reform
(With Xuehui An and Mingxing Liu, draft available by December 2007)
Abstract: This paper aims
to evaluate the impact of national transfer program on rural school
finance and governance in China. Using data from Gansu, we find that
overall school finance increases and teachers are paid better after the
program is implemented. However, we also find evidence that the control
power over teacher hire is more likely to be usurped by the county
officials in charge of the fund allocation. Because these officials have
strong incentives to seek rent through hiring unqualified teachers, when
they control teacher hire, teacher incentive pay scheme falls apart; new
teacher quality, old teacher effort, and student performance all decline
despite the increase in school funding. When the school districts
successfully manage to retain the control over teacher hire, the
incentive pay scheme, new teacher quality, incumbent teacher effort, and
student performance all remain as good as before. We address the
endogeneity problem through difference-in-difference estimates and
through instrumenting the ability of the county officials to usurp the
control over teacher hire.

 
|